Riskology by Infortal™ Episode 29: Election Risk: Managing Ballot Box Uncertainty


Does your company have a contingency plan for international political risks?
Join hosts Dr. Ian Oxnevad and Christopher Mason as they break down recent electoral developments.

With over half of the world heading to the polls in 2024, the stakes are high and there is a lot for companies to consider. The 2024 election cycle has certainly lived up to the hype so far, and its impact cannot be underestimated.

In a move that surprised many political analysts, Rishi Sunak, the UK's Prime Minister, called for a snap election amidst significant political upheaval. The subsequent victory of the Labour Party marked a significant shift in the political landscape that had been dominated by the Conservative Party for the past 14 years.

France's political climate has been particularly volatile, with the emergence of right-wing movements challenging the status quo. France also recently encountered a snap election. The recent political maneuvers in France have demonstrated how political sentiment can rapidly divide governments and significantly influence future policy formulations.

The political volatility in Europe, particularly in France and the UK, is increasingly reflected in market movements. This underscores the importance for companies with international operations to develop robust strategies to manage these risks.

The ability to call for snap elections, a concept foreign to the American election cycle, underscores how quickly political norms can change in Europe. This highlights the crucial need for companies to stay vigilant and understand how shifts can impact their operations, emphasizing the importance of proactive planning.

From a global risk perspective, companies must integrate multifaceted political risk analysis into their strategic outlook to stay ahead of shifting policies and the impact to business operations. Companies need to proactively create contingency plans to navigate political change. This involves not just assessing immediate risks but also understanding the long-term implications of political shifts.

Having a well-prepared contingency plan can provide a significant advantage, especially during tumultuous times. The COVID-19 pandemic has underscored the need for such preparedness, revealing vulnerabilities in logistics and supply chains.

Companies that anticipate potential political shifts and have contingencies in place will be better positioned to handle the election impact on markets and regulatory frameworks.

Stay informed about political trends to remain agile enough to adapt quickly. To remain competitive, this involves focusing on compliance and anticipating the direction of policy changes. Organizations must integrate political risk assessments into their broader strategic frameworks to remain resilient.

Investing in political risk intelligence can provide a significant advantage for your firm.

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Infortal’s Continuing Legal Education (CLE) courses are designed to equip executives, attorneys and risk managers with strategic insights to navigate the complex landscape of geopolitical risk. We cover topics such as international sanctions, regulatory risks, corporate espionage, AML, global warfare, anti-terrorist financing and corruption.

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