How To Solve Geopolitical Business Crisis Before It Starts

Geopolitical Risk

In a world of geopolitical risk and opportunity, knowledge is power.  With boots on the ground investigators and open-source risk intelligence (OSINT) collectors in over 160 countries, we can assist you in safeguarding your investments, operations, and M&A activity with real-time risk intelligence so you can see what  your competitors do not.

 

Why Work with Infortal Worldwide?

At Infortal Worldwide, you will work with a dedicated core team of risk intelligence professionals with years of experience in intelligence, law and law enforcement, academia, and investigation who have a worldwide reach to help solve the geopolitical risks you face.  With Infortal, you won’t get empty advice, but hands-on assistance in solving crisis before it starts.

 

How do we help you manage Geopolitical Risk? 

At Infortal Worldwide, we break down geopolitical and country risks so you and your executive team avoid liability, and your investors avoid losses.  Geopolitical risks come in various forms, but our worldwide risk intelligence capabilities and assets can provide you with critical information to secure first-mover advantage and advanced warning.  

We specialize in combining open-source (OSINT) intelligence with in-country risk intelligence assets to gather and identify hidden and undisclosed risks. Once risk intelligence is collected, we work with your executive team and legal counsel to identify liabilities and give you a crystal-clear view of the threats to your profitability and reputation tailored to your interests. 

 

Supply Chain Analysis

Supply chains link you to the global economy. Supply chains are more than just your suppliers, but include access to capital, customers in your target markets, and the third-parties that supply you.  Supply chains are fragile to disruption from war, inefficiency due to macroeconomic conditions, higher costs due to crime and corruption.  Active risk intelligence is needed to ensure your supply chains are safe, secure, and efficient. 

With our risk intelligence personnel in over 160 countries, we can identify weaknesses in your supply chains as they emerge due to geopolitical risks. In the case of war, crisis, or political pressure, we help you find new suppliers and markets to ensure a continuity and profitability of your operations. In your M&A transactions, we go beyond traditional valuation and leverage risk intelligence to find the hidden risks and opportunities in your target markets. 

We offer you leverage to negotiate prices beneficial to you, and mitigate risks over the course of the integration process.   We harden your supply chains by making them flexible and detecting threats before and as they emerge. 

 

 

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Sanctions Screening

We ensure you avoid sanctions violations and other regulatory violations through screening new partners, clients and customers using our proprietary risk intelligence assets and networks. 

Sanctions regimes around the world are growing increasingly complex due to geopolitical tensions between China and the US, and it is important to make sure you have adequate screening and due diligence processes in place to mitigate those geopolitical risks. 

Infortal’s rigorous approach to Sanctions Due Diligence coupled with in-country intelligence will make certain your sanctions risk is minimized at every level of your business. You’ll know how to manage emerging sanctions compliance requirements and protect your reputation in the process.
 
 

Country Risk Analysis

Every country is an ecosystem of political risk and opportunity.  

Infortal’s country risk reports are not off the shelf or reliant upon news media.  Our customized risk intelligence reports support your business strategy and provide the analysis your company needs to move ahead with confidence. 

With our risk intelligence assets on the ground and our network of experts around the world, we identify threats to your interests in your country of operation and assess the risks to your business from bad actors, instability, and unpredictable economic threats.  

We offer tailored monitoring, threat assessments, and in-country assistance to your business in order to give advanced warning of crisis, and mitigation once it occurs.

 

Entering New Markets

New markets are more than just numbers.  Every economy is embedded in culture and carries its own pitfalls and possibilities. We offer you cutting-edge business risk intelligence powered by the best OSINT analysis available and supported by in-country risk intelligence personnel to verify facts, collect information, and monitor threats in assisting your operations.  

Our business intelligence gives you the edge you need to outpace your competitors when you enter into a new market. 

 

Screening New Partners Overseas

Geopolitical risks are people risks.  Our executive deep-dive due diligence screens your personnel, partners, suppliers, and executives for political exposure, corruption, criminal risks, and lurking threats to your reputation.  

With our risk intelligence capabilities, our executive protection assets, and analytical techniques, we help protect your business from threats ranging from crime to terrorism, corruption, corporate espionage, and theft. 

You do not want to unknowingly provide material support to terrorist groups or malicious state-owned enterprises (SOEs) through your business dealings or third-party contracts.  Such breaches in intelligence and due diligence can destroy your reputation overnight.

 

 

Physical Security – Risk of Conflict, War, or Terrorism

Instability is the norm in most countries.  Political polarization, ethnic tensions, criminal gangs, and conflicts in the form of civil warterrorism, and interstate war are all geopolitical risks that threaten business beyond what insurance policies can cover. 

Infortal uses proprietary and vetted in-country investigators and risk intelligence assets who know the language and local political and business climates. Our risk intelligence assets are broader and faster than that of most governments, and offer your company legal risk intelligence capabilities to safeguard your assets and beat your competitors. 

We also offer armed protection services and executive travel protection to ensure that your leadership team and assets are safe.   We not only help solve the crisis before it starts; we get you out of it once it begins. 

When contingency planning is key to mitigating geopolitical risks, our geopolitical risk intelligence professionals help you craft strategic backup plans for your supply chains in the event of a conflict.  

Social Unrest Risk

Social unrest can disrupt business operations, spike insurance premiums, and render markets untenable. Risk intelligence allows you to predict social movements that lead to unrest, and provide you the information and leverage to avoid chaos. 

At Infortal, we have expertise in assessing local conditions to provide real time analysis on the likelihood of riots, protests, or even boycotts against your brand. When entering a new market, it is critical to get a pulse on the social dynamics that may impact your operations down the road. Due diligence investigations layered with business risk intelligence can assist your legal counsel, your legislative analyst, and your security team with crisis mitigation. 

Avoiding Reputational Damage

Reputation takes years to develop and carries your brand farther than any single ad or marketing campaign.  Reputation can also be destroyed in a day due to a deepfake, a bad social media post, or a corporate scandal. Even a targeted campaign by activists can destroy your image. 

At Infortal, we help you protect your reputation and business image by augmenting your reputation management and marketing teams with risk intelligence to make your responses cheaper and more effective.  We can screen your executives and workers to mitigate scandals in advance, and screen your corporate partners so that you know with whom you do business. 

We assist you in avoiding costly marketing mistakes by deploying intelligence methods to screen and test new products and initiatives in safe focus groups conditioned to market conditions.  If you are repairing your reputation, we can give accurate information on the state of your image with key demographics and how it affects your business by monitoring how your customers and investors view you. 

Real time business intelligence from Infortal can identify possible public relations threats that can harm your company.  Risk intelligence can gauge the likelihoods of each risk based on your corporate profile and country of operation. 

Our advisory services and real-time risk intelligence monitoring can protect you from threats to your reputation by gaining you precious time to get ahead of crisis. 

Managing ESG related Risks

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) risks are more than a fad.  ESG is not new, but combines long-existing environmental laws, and regulations related toand corporate social responsibility, and internal corporate governance. 

When you work with Infortal to address your ESG risks, we can assess your supply chains and suppliers for environmental standards, human trafficking and slave labor risks, and conduct internal audits to identify and rectify shortfalls in governance and compliance. Once risks are identified, we assist you in crafting and executing plans to avoid costly scandals and fines. 
 
 

International Litigation

If your business is involved in international litigation, our risk intelligence and investigation services can help you win.  Not all legal systems ensure good protection of property rights or fair trials.  Evidence can be difficult to locate, and certain jurisdictions can place you at an inherent disadvantage. 

Additionally, you may find that similar prior litigation has occurred or that your reputation or your products are under attack by unidentified parties. Our risk intelligence assets can help determine who is causing damage to your reputation.  With our expertise, you will be forearmed to navigate your crisis and succeed through it. 

 

 

A detailed report is provided with Executive Summary, conclusions, recommendations and complete attachments. Updates are provided: Two levels of Executive Due Diligence are available, depending on the number of components searched.

Multiple Key Executive checks may be priced at a discounted rate depending on the number of executives included, and whether international components are involved.

Please contact us for more information and pricing.

Argentina – Economic Risk
Africa – Geopolitical and Economic Risk
UAE: Opportunity and Risk
Conflict Risk: Ukraine and East Europe
Conflict Risk: Israel and the Middle East
Conflict Risk: Taiwan and East Asia
Argentina faced increases in poverty and ongoing economic crisis in 2022. Protests, the assassination attempt of Argentina’s Vice President, Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, corruption trials, and incidents of police brutality highlight Argentina’s socioeconomic instability. Companies operating in Argentina face heightened risks of corruption, FCPA violations, and inflation.

Argentina’s economy contracted every year since 2018, highlighting the country’s economic risk even prior to the Covid-19 pandemic. Argentina’s historic inflation crisis continues at a rate of 138% in 2023, with over 39% of the country living in poverty. Argentina’s risk of civil unrest is increasing, with inflation projected to continue rising into 2024.

Argentina’s upcoming presidential election highlights greater instability in Argentina for 2024. The country’s rising far-right looks set to take power in Argentina’s upcoming election, with structural reforms threatening economic predictability in the country. Should Argentina’s new government adopt the US dollar, US companies face new opportunities for investing in the country.

Companies operating in Argentina must maintain an up-to-date economic advisory, maintain robust due-diligence screenings for individuals to minimize corruption risks, and conduct regular geopolitical risk intelligence forecasting to protect assets and company interests from geopolitical shock.
In 2023, Sub-Saharan Africa is a primary source of critical minerals needed for green energy transition and represents a large emerging market. Companies operating in Africa also face unprecedented risks from corruption, terrorism, ethnic violence, human rights violations, property rights violations. As the center for geopolitical competition for minerals between Chinese state-owned enterprises and US companies, and a center for jihadist groups and Russian influence, Africa has one of the highest geopolitical risk profiles for 2023. These risks will continue in 2024.

US companies operating in Africa require careful due diligence investigations of partners, new hires, and investors, alongside close intelligence monitoring of security and geopolitical risks. Due to poor internal governance and external major powers operating in Africa’s economic arena, risks facing private Western companies are complex and multilayered. Recent operations in Africa by the Russian mercenary firm, the Wagner Group, and the recent coup in Niger highlight Africa’s condition as an ongoing conflict zone. Jihadist activity in East Africa and Nigeria, as well as high crime rates in South Africa also show internal security threats facing companies investing in the region.

Economically, companies face increased ESG risks. Mining operations and mineral extraction reliant upon forced or child labor open companies to regulatory and reputation risks. Conducting ESG-driven due diligence investigation and intelligence monitoring can mitigate risks for companies seeking to operate in Africa’s emerging market.
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) offers one of the brightest opportunities in the Middle East for 2023. Two years after the signing of the Abraham Accords that normalized ties between the UAE and Israel, the Emirates offers a high-growth business environment central to the global energy and high-tech markets. In 2022, the UAE’s economy grew at 8%. Greater collaboration between the UAE and Israel offers emerging opportunities for companies looking to the Middle East for investment.

The recent war that was started by Hamas terrorist attacks against Israel poses geopolitical risks for the wider Middle East, including the UAE. Ties between jihadist groups operating in the region and Iran place the UAE at the center for heightened risks of both conflict and compliance violations. Sanctions violations remain a risk as terrorist groups and Iran attempt to use Emirati banks and financial institutions to finance terrorism and bypass trade restrictions. A wider regional war involving Iran also threatens Emirati growth prospects and potentially poses an existential threat to the country. Iran’s nuclear program heightens this risk.

Companies operating in the UAE require robust KYC programs in order to safeguard operations from compliance violations related to sanctions and terrorist financing. Additionally, companies seeking tax advantages of operating in the UAE should retain close consultation with financial professionals in order to avoid violations.
Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine is the single-largest driver of geopolitical risk in 2023 to date. Russia’s invasion added to inflationary pressure as countries worldwide faced increased costs from defense spending and risks from disruption of energy and food imports. Europe’s economic vulnerability for its historic reliance on Russian energy emerged as a macroeconomic risk for Europe. In the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia, disruptions in food and energy imports from both Ukraine and Russia raised the risks for famine and the risk of economic collapse.

Within Europe, the risk outlook for 2023 and 2024 facing Western companies depends on the duration of the war. Europe’s ambitions to reach a full green energy transition have faltered, just as demands for increased defense spending are increasing. The Russia-Ukraine war similarly is polarizing European domestic politics over questions of expanding the European Union.

Companies operating in Europe face overlapping risks from misinformation, macroeconomic uncertainty, and inflationary pressures as the result of the Ukraine war. Should Russia make advances in Ukraine, the risk of war spreading westward in Europe raises risks of terrorism, and operating costs. Russian aggression also increases the risk of cyberattacks for European companies.
Terrorist attacks on Israel in the form of rocket attacks, kidnappings, and human rights violations are currently opening a new war in the Middle East. Unlike previous terrorist attacks, Israel’s coming incursion into the Gaza Strip to eradicate Hamas and threats of retaliation from Iran increase the risk of a regional war affecting Israel, Lebanon, Syria, the Gulf, and Iran. Iran’s nuclear program and support for terrorism are reshaping the Middle East’s risk environment.

Companies operating in the Middle East face multiple overlapping risks that include terrorism, sanctions violation, security risks, reputational risks, and macroeconomic collapse.

Operating in the Middle East in 2023 and 2024 requires companies to develop accurate and ongoing geopolitical risk monitoring and intelligence to detect risks to personnel and assets in the region. Sanctions and terrorist financing compliance violations also pose risks exposed to the Middle East but not operating there. Employing enhanced due diligence investigations alongside geopolitical risk intelligence monitoring offers companies needed information and advance time to detect and insulate themselves from risk.
Conflicts unfolding in East Europe and the Middle East involve Iran and Russia, and both countries are closely aligned with China. The risk of world war is increasing. In East Asia, the main catalyst for the region’s entry into what would become a global conflict is centered on Taiwan. China’s reopening since the Covid-19 pandemic includes a retrofitting of its economy for weapons production. China’s economic reorientation alongside ongoing violations of Taiwan’s airspace by the People’s Liberation Army are advanced warning indicators of impending war. China’s sanctioning of US companies, police raids of the offices of Western companies operating within China, and events such as China’s spy balloon over US airspace all indicate the potential for an impending war in the near future.

While war is not guaranteed, companies operating in China and Taiwan have opportunities to re-shore supply chains away from China in order to minimize losses if conflict erupts. Companies exposed to China face overlapping risks in the form of sanctions violations, corporate and economic espionage, asset confiscation, and loss of market access as latent conflict continues in 2023.
Country Risk Assessments

Are you prepared to deal with cartels in Mexico or threats to your intellectual property in China

Monitoring Corruption

What happens if you intend to do business with a company in a country like China, only to find out after the fact that bribery is simply the standard cost of conducting business?

Avoiding Criminal Charges

Did you know that your foreign investments as a company could lead you to commit an actual crime inadvertently?

Sanctions Violations

It’s one thing to familiarize yourself with major international business sanctions such as sanctions against Russia’s energy imports…

Avoiding Damage To Your Reputation

What do you do when your business is struck by a public relations crisis that’s entirely NOT your fault?

Get Ahead of ESG Risks

Whether it’s severe flooding in Thailand that disrupts your technology supply chain network…

Preventing Disruptions From Social Unrest

If your company was located in the Middle East in 2010 or 2011, you most likely had no idea the Arab Spring revolutions were coming.

Terrorist Attacks

It seems unlikely you could ever predict the next terrorist attack unless you have all the resources of the CIA at your disposal.

Going Into Business With A State Owned Enterprise (SOE)

How do you know if doing business with a State Owned Enterprise (SOE) like China (with its global holding companies) is really safe?

How can war impact your business?

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the perfect, tragic example of what can happen to businesses if you don’t see a war coming long before it actually arrives.

Our team is available to assist

CLE Accredited Courses

Infortal’s Continuing Legal Education (CLE) courses are designed to equip executives, attorneys and risk managers with strategic insights to navigate the complex landscape of geopolitical risk. We cover topics such as international sanctions, regulatory risks, corporate espionage, AML, global warfare, anti-terrorist financing and corruption.

We can help you make informed decisions and mitigate potential risks for your business.
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